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This page shows the ELO score history of the selected club - mapping their best and worst sides of all time, and their most unlikely victories and defeats based on their ELO score.
Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.
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CARDIFF CITY
score history | best teams | worst teams | significant victories | significant defeats | bogey teams
A historical overview of Cardiff City's ELO scores.
A list of the top 15 Cardiff City sides in history, based on their ELO score.
| Year | Date Recorded | ELO Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1923 | Wednesday, December 26, 1923 | 4104.20 |
| 1924 | Tuesday, January 1, 1924 | 4102.07 |
| 1922 | Saturday, September 9, 1922 | 4053.13 |
| 1927 | Saturday, September 24, 1927 | 4039.59 |
| 1925 | Saturday, March 14, 1925 | 4036.13 |
| 1928 | Saturday, February 25, 1928 | 4027.48 |
| 1926 | Saturday, April 3, 1926 | 4011.10 |
| 1954 | Saturday, December 4, 1954 | 4007.26 |
| 1956 | Saturday, March 10, 1956 | 4005.21 |
| 1953 | Saturday, October 31, 1953 | 3987.88 |
| 1955 | Saturday, March 19, 1955 | 3984.81 |
| 2018 | Friday, March 30, 2018 | 3961.22 |
| 2012 | Monday, January 2, 2012 | 3949.56 |
| 2013 | Saturday, February 2, 2013 | 3949.46 |
| 1957 | Saturday, January 19, 1957 | 3947.96 |
A list of the worst 15 Cardiff City sides in history, based on their ELO score.
| Year | Date Recorded | ELO Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1996 | Saturday, April 20, 1996 | 3382.83 |
| 1997 | Saturday, January 18, 1997 | 3386.55 |
| 1998 | Tuesday, August 18, 1998 | 3394.58 |
| 1934 | Saturday, May 5, 1934 | 3436.92 |
| 1991 | Saturday, August 17, 1991 | 3448.53 |
| 1935 | Saturday, March 23, 1935 | 3463.50 |
| 1992 | Wednesday, January 1, 1992 | 3465.60 |
| 1990 | Saturday, December 15, 1990 | 3470.01 |
| 1995 | Saturday, November 18, 1995 | 3473.19 |
| 1987 | Friday, May 1, 1987 | 3478.82 |
| 1937 | Monday, April 12, 1937 | 3480.71 |
| 1936 | Wednesday, January 15, 1936 | 3484.59 |
| 1933 | Monday, December 25, 1933 | 3489.87 |
| 1985 | Saturday, November 30, 1985 | 3503.10 |
| 1986 | Tuesday, April 8, 1986 | 3506.28 |
A listing of the 20 most significant victories in Cardiff City's history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.
| Match | Diff. | Win/Draw Exp % |
Score | ELO Score Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff City (3660) vs. Leeds United (4153) Sunday, January 6, 2002 |
-426.6 | 7.9% | 2-1 | +9.2 |
| Cardiff City (3600) vs. Charlton Athletic (4037) Saturday, January 7, 1939 |
-307.1 | 14.6% | 1-0 | +17.1 |
| Cardiff City (3526) vs. Chelsea (3931) Tuesday, October 28, 1986 |
-317.8 | 13.8% | 2-1 | +17.2 |
| Cardiff City (3914) vs. Manchester City (4238) Sunday, August 25, 2013 |
-283.2 | 16.4% | 3-2 | +16.7 |
| Cardiff City (3922) vs. Tottenham Hotspur (4224) Saturday, March 11, 1961 |
-198.0 | 24.2% | 3-2 | +15.2 |
| Cardiff City (3437) vs. Charlton Athletic (3736) Saturday, August 25, 1934 |
-167.2 | 27.6% | 2-1 | +14.5 |
| Manchester United (4192) vs. Cardiff City (3897) Sunday, May 12, 2019 |
-335.4 | 12.7% | 0-2 | +26.2 |
| Cardiff City (3635) vs. Watford (3923) Tuesday, October 9, 1984 |
-194.7 | 24.6% | 1-0 | +15.1 |
| Cardiff City (3441) vs. Oldham Athletic (3728) Saturday, January 3, 1998 |
-223.6 | 21.6% | 1-0 | +7.8 |
| Portsmouth (3800) vs. Cardiff City (3518) Wednesday, August 16, 1995 |
-350.2 | 11.8% | 0-2 | +13.2 |
| Cardiff City (3526) vs. Millwall (3795) Monday, January 26, 1987 |
-181.4 | 26.0% | 1-0 | +14.8 |
| Cardiff City (3634) vs. Manchester City (3903) Saturday, January 29, 1994 |
-196.7 | 24.4% | 1-0 | +7.6 |
| Cardiff City (3728) vs. Middlesbrough (3996) Saturday, April 13, 1974 |
-165.2 | 27.9% | 3-2 | +14.4 |
| Cardiff City (3517) vs. Portsmouth (3779) Tuesday, August 22, 1995 |
-193.9 | 24.7% | 1-0 | +7.5 |
| Cardiff City (3451) vs. Luton Town (3709) Monday, August 27, 1934 |
-125.9 | 32.6% | 1-0 | +13.5 |
| Cardiff City (3666) vs. Watford (3915) Saturday, April 3, 1982 |
-150.3 | 29.6% | 2-0 | +21.1 |
| Cardiff City (3915) vs. Burnley (4158) Saturday, January 14, 1961 |
-138.9 | 31.0% | 2-1 | +13.8 |
| Cardiff City (3466) vs. Watford (3706) Saturday, March 2, 1935 |
-108.6 | 34.9% | 2-1 | +13.0 |
| Swindon Town (3861) vs. Cardiff City (3623) Saturday, December 20, 1913 |
-359.0 | 11.2% | 1-2 | +17.8 |
| Cardiff City (3540) vs. Plymouth Argyle (3777) Tuesday, August 26, 1986 |
-149.6 | 29.7% | 5-4 | +14.1 |
A listing of the 20 most significant defeats in Cardiff City's history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.
| Match | Diff. | Win/Draw Exp % |
Score | ELO Score Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macclesfield Town (3343) vs. Cardiff City (3948) Saturday, January 5, 2013 |
+562.0 | 96.2% | 2-1 | -9.6 |
| Northampton Town (3446) vs. Cardiff City (3873) Tuesday, August 14, 2012 |
+384.0 | 90.1% | 2-1 | -9.0 |
| Hayes (3110) vs. Cardiff City (3535) Wednesday, November 21, 1990 |
+350.0 | 88.2% | 1-0 | -17.6 |
| Cardiff City (3855) vs. York City (3432) Thursday, January 15, 1970 |
+529.0 | 95.5% | 1-3 | -28.6 |
| Halifax Town (3526) vs. Cardiff City (3927) Saturday, January 10, 1953 |
+301.3 | 85.0% | 3-1 | -25.5 |
| Gillingham (3456) vs. Cardiff City (3849) Wednesday, March 17, 1920 |
+273.7 | 82.9% | 3-0 | -29.0 |
| Cardiff City (3556) vs. Dartford (3191) Saturday, November 30, 1935 |
+497.5 | 94.6% | 0-3 | -33.1 |
| Cardiff City (3875) vs. Brentford (3530) Saturday, January 23, 1971 |
+448.5 | 93.0% | 0-2 | -27.9 |
| Cardiff City (3806) vs. Barnet (3473) Tuesday, August 22, 2006 |
+384.8 | 90.2% | 0-2 | -13.5 |
| Northampton Town (3590) vs. Cardiff City (3915) Saturday, September 5, 2020 |
+285.7 | 83.8% | 3-0 | -14.7 |
| Gillingham (3603) vs. Cardiff City (3926) Saturday, January 5, 2019 |
+281.2 | 83.5% | 1-0 | -8.3 |
| Cardiff City (3698) vs. Weymouth (3382) Saturday, December 11, 1982 |
+407.1 | 91.2% | 2-3 | -18.2 |
| Swindon Town (3582) vs. Cardiff City (3878) Wednesday, January 16, 1952 |
+199.5 | 75.9% | 1-0 | -15.2 |
| Enfield (3285) vs. Cardiff City (3578) Saturday, November 12, 1994 |
+223.5 | 78.4% | 1-0 | -7.8 |
| Cardiff City (3883) vs. Coventry City (3593) Monday, December 27, 1920 |
+406.2 | 91.2% | 0-1 | -18.2 |
| Torquay United (3462) vs. Cardiff City (3741) Saturday, August 13, 1977 |
+174.2 | 73.2% | 1-0 | -14.6 |
| Cardiff City (3847) vs. Shrewsbury Town (3597) Sunday, January 10, 2016 |
+289.2 | 84.1% | 0-1 | -8.4 |
| Wrexham (3546) vs. Cardiff City (3795) Monday, October 21, 1963 |
+145.5 | 69.8% | 3-0 | -24.4 |
| Southport (3498) vs. Cardiff City (3741) Saturday, February 12, 1966 |
+139.2 | 69.0% | 2-0 | -20.7 |
| Cardiff City (3931) vs. Peterborough United (3689) Saturday, December 15, 2012 |
+284.9 | 83.8% | 1-2 | -16.8 |
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The twenty teams that Cardiff City are most successful against, based on the average ELO points won in games against them (minimum ten games played).
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The twenty teams that Cardiff City are least successful against, based on the average ELO points won in games against them (minimum ten games played).
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